Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 769.954468 869.099165 979.965064 1113.850713 1272.117482 1454.437091 1682.083053
2025-02-09 631.634521 762.437841 922.159431 1134.449640 1413.673652 1774.899180 2288.597668
2025-02-16 550.378504 690.349399 870.240878 1123.528999 1479.604622 1976.256721 2747.880859
2025-02-23 504.940702 654.736172 856.073357 1154.585688 1600.729515 2269.023003 3401.757806
2025-03-02 471.609314 628.929085 848.628608 1189.379203 1727.268771 2587.551082 4171.686450
2025-03-09 438.731426 598.999894 830.170850 1202.878854 1820.144839 2867.379456 4950.469590
2025-03-16 406.268808 565.691690 801.993764 1195.818242 1875.916812 3092.048566 5688.905756
2025-03-23 385.093338 546.657273 792.670751 1216.539865 1980.422826 3423.318154 6748.357868
2025-03-30 354.165407 509.809938 751.492990 1178.205916 1972.094093 3535.529038 7359.770758
2025-04-06 327.737294 477.741541 714.838415 1142.936345 1963.276734 3643.592338 7997.453920
2025-04-13 303.291490 446.941245 677.520194 1102.096450 1937.249218 3709.446340 8551.175584
2025-04-20 295.602210 442.445861 683.436362 1140.017432 2073.386827 4161.730203 10352.257499
2025-04-27 284.757240 432.456226 679.951628 1161.733751 2183.899254 4593.414544 12355.190059
2025-05-04 272.935695 420.010113 671.187767 1172.512293 2273.772589 5002.379093 14544.357100
2025-05-11 259.473336 403.697268 653.946950 1164.055205 2318.381422 5305.186674 16549.463236
2025-05-18 252.735930 398.486154 656.327897 1195.732467 2462.445903 5926.016381 20296.051314
2025-05-25 247.072787 394.689343 660.876357 1232.364717 2625.810327 6660.223938 25250.980981
2025-06-01 239.007943 385.997441 655.338151 1246.429314 2734.918775 7266.217579 30247.117966
2025-06-08 229.074512 373.253118 640.923693 1239.057091 2786.287380 7701.144534 34819.874334
2025-06-15 223.063676 367.327860 639.389021 1260.741656 2921.671449 8484.825099 42721.022689
2025-06-22 210.985372 349.382604 612.552566 1220.622591 2875.004210 8579.117436 45919.314213
2025-06-29 200.081100 333.094828 588.041410 1183.723859 2832.329939 8679.993322 49406.543516
2025-07-06 189.320020 316.567710 562.066731 1141.016127 2766.345736 8671.079342 52055.843115